Almost But Not Quite

WaPo Preview

Contrary to reports, that is not any member of NFA 

The Washington Post unveiled their 2007 Baseball Preview section today. Included is a column from Boswell with his perspective on the rebuilding of the Nationals.

Boswell’s overall point is that while the rebuilding of the farm is an important, the Nationals need also spend money in free agency to “use your advantages to crush middle- and small-market teams.” He recommends the Nationals “buy their way back into playoff contention at the major league level.”

While his thought has merit, Boz neglects a key aspect of such a strategy. The Nationals should not just spend in free agency, they need to spend wisely in free agency. What Boswell failed to address is the compensation issue with regards to free agents. A Type A free agent cost the signing team their first round pick. The Nationals will likely have the luxury of a protected first round pick in 2008 (given a record in the bottom 15 in MLB). But the Nationals need to realize there is value lost in surrendering top 100 picks. Type B free agents, on the other hand, do not cost the signing team one of their own selections. They only add a pick to the supplemental first round. In the near term, the Nationals need to focus on bringing in the Type B free agents. There is value in such players in the upcoming season (Juan Pierre, Miguel Batista, and Frank Thomas were all Type B this off-season).

Please don’t misread me, I’m not suggesting they forego signing any Type A free agents. There is definite value in bringing in premium free agents in areas of need (read, starting pitching). What I am recommending is the Nationals look at what teams like the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees and Oakland Athletics have done … take advantage of the current compensation environment to maintain multiple top 100 picks in the draft, while still signing Type A free agents. I wrote about this a few months ago when the Nationals made the decision to not offer arbitration to Ramon Ortiz.

My point at the time (and still is) that by signing middle of the road Type B free agents to one or two year deals, the Nationals provide themselves with a few opportunities. They can trade these players during the season for prospects, or, at worst, get the opportunity to stockpile draft picks with rebuilding in mind. And additionally, the draft pick compensation for Type B players provides a safety net for the Nationals player development efforts when they surrender their own picks signing Type A free agents.

The final point Boz raises is

Lots of ardent fans in traditional big league cities make midsummer pilgrimages to the minors to see what’s “down on the farm” at Pawtucket, Tucson, Nashville or Toledo. Meet a Mud Hen. See the future. In Washington, that won’t be necessary. The elite draft picks such as Willems and Marrero are still too young to judge. The high picks of ‘07 and ‘08 haven’t even been made. The Nationals’ most important farm team will be playing at 2400 East Capitol St. this season. Just take a vacation to RFK.

I could not disagree more with Boz on that.

Now, my bias is worn proudly on my sleeve. I really enjoy the process of player development. And in the case of the Nationals, I get to watch firsthand and up close, a team rebuilding from the foundation on up. Players like Ryan Zimmerman, Austin Kearns, Brian Schneider, and when he returns Nick Johnson are key pieces for the future of the Nationals. But if I were a fan of the Nationals, I would not classify the big league club as the most important farm team. There are pieces for the future at RFK, but more importantly there are efforts underway in the farm system that should not be relegated to second class citizens.

I’d strongly recommend following the players in Columbus and Harrisburg and Potomac and Hagerstown and Vermont and the Gulf Coast League and the Dominican Summer League. Most of the teams broadcast their games over the internet (for free).

If it’s possible, drive down to Woodbridge or out to Harriburg or Hagerstown. The tickets are affordable and you can get up close access to the next generation of Nationals.

And if all else fails stop by here and read about what the Nationals are doing to rebuild the franchise.