An Extremely Early Mock Draft

Here is one early take on the 2009 draft.

As expected, RHP Stephen Strasburg is the choice at #1 overall. I was more interested to see who the choice was going to be at #9A. This mock draft has the Nats grabbing a HS LHP Tyler Matzek. Here is a quick scouting report of Matzek from Saberscouting:

Matzek works at 89-92, touching 94 with a heavy fastball and mixing in a knockout mid-70s curveball. His curveball is a two-plane bender that is regularly above-average now with a chance to be a plus pitch. He also mixes in solid slider and shows feel for a changeup that flashes above-average.

He’s projectable and athletic with a clean arm and simple delivery, throwing from a classic high 3/4 arm angle. That allows Matzek to work both sides of the plate effectively, pounding the zone with advanced feel. He’s got four pitches and command that project for average or better; there’s just a lot to like. One insider said Matzek reminded him of another lefty: the 4th overall pick of the 2008 draft, former U. San Diego hurler and Orioles draftee, Brian Matusz.

One scout that saw Matzek at the Perfect Game National showcase in Minneapolis said, “if his breaking ball develops like you hope, he could be Clayton Kershaw.” That might sound a bit optimistic, and that I’m using too many comparisons, but considering how under-the-radar Kershaw was entering his senior year, it doesn’t seem so far-fetched

Nothing against Matzek, but if the Nats grab an arm at #1, I’d hope they target a bat at #9A (assuming he’s close to the best player available). Of the players still on the board, I’d be intrigued by the selection of OF Kentrail Davis from Tennessee. Here is the Future Focus I had on Davis prior to the 2007 draft. The only question I’d have regarding Davis is his price tag. As a draft eligible sophomre, Davis has the flexibility to return for his junior season and not necessarily impact his draft position (assuming no injuries).

Given the fact the Nats have no safety net with this selection, that would be a gamble I’m not sure they’d take.

UPDATE: Jim Callis at Baseball America has his early top 10 for 2009 with the Nats taking Strasburg and RHP Kyle Gibson at #9A. Gibson is from Missouri and was a member of the same 2008 rotation as the player who led to this compensation.